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Named Storm: Chantal

Discussion in 'Tropical Systems' started by Pastor Gary, Jul 31, 2007.

  1. Named Storm: Chantal

    This Tropical Storm formed off the US coast of New Jersey over the past 12 hours from a tropical depression that has been meandering throughout the coastal US Atlantic waters for several days.

    This storm poses no threat to US coastal areas and will only be a maritime weather event in the North Atlantic shipping lanes. It is currently moving to the Northeast at 7 MPH.

    We will not track this storm because it poses no threat to US coastal areas, however, we would like to caution everyone that the peak of the 2007 Hurricane and Tropical Systems season is approaching and increased activity is expected very soon.

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    "THIS IS NOT AN OFFICIAL ADVISORY. These updates and advisories are based upon information from our own computer models, NOAA, Local Weather Data Centers, deep water Buoy Data, and other publicly available sources. FOR THE SAFETY OF YOUR PROPERTY AND PERSON, please refer to your Local, State, and Federal Authority updates for Official Advisories and Orders. For up to the minute advisories and official updates, it is essential that you monitor your local Emergency Government, NOAA and Local Media Broadcasts. Please do not make personal safety decisions based upon information presented here in this Unofficial Advisory."
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  2. I don't recall any tropical storm forming off the coast of NYC. And I grew up there.
     
  3. New Possibilities

    We are also tracking: (NOAA TEXT-)

    "A WEAK AREA OF LOW PRESSURE ASSOCIATED WITH A TROPICAL WAVE IS CENTERED ABOUT 600 MILES EAST OF THE SOUTHERN WINDWARD ISLANDS AND IS MOVING WESTWARD AROUND 10 TO 15 MPH. ALTHOUGH THIS SYSTEM HAS BECOME LESS ORGANIZED OVER THE PAST FEW HOURS...IT STILL HAS THE POTENTIAL TO BECOME A TROPICAL DEPRESSION DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF
    DAYS. - NOAA TPC Miami."

    We are also looking at a low pressure system which is now identified as INVEST 98L that is also showing some convection and strengthening. It is located roughly 330 miles northeast of the Bahamas and is being watched carefully.

    If ANY new systems become NAMED STORMS, that data will be posted in their respective named threads in this 'Tropical Systems" area.
     
  4. Areas of Interest

    The low that brought much of the region rain over the past few days has moved off shore and is showing signs of rotation.


    The NHC is planning a recon flight into the low to ensure that we do not end up staring at another Charley. The 18z NAM shows this becoming an Alabama system, bringing rain and thunderstorms to the coastal areas.


    Right now, the jury is out on whether it becomes a tropical system in the Gulf of Mexico. You can see it here: http://www.goes.noaa.gov/HURRLOOPS/gulfvs.html.

    A personal, and most definately not a professional assesment suggests that while this Low Pressure System could become a tropical storm over the next 48 hours, chances are it will remain a simple rain maker for much of the central coastal areas.

    Elsewhere, Invest 99L recon flight is complete, and there is no closed rotation or vortex message, which means this systems remains a tropical wave and NOT a tropical depression. Some improvement of Invest 99L is possible over the next 48 hours.



    Tropical Storm Chantal is still chugging merrily north and not doing much more and startling a rogue fish or two.
     

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